Our Future in Passenger Transport: the Rise of Electric Cars
There is no doubt that the automotive industry and road transport is facing major challenges. The change has been felt in recent years: not only in Europe, but also in Hungary more and more cars are running around on the roads with a green license plate.
The spread of electric cars in the near future will be faster due to the tightening of the EU’s environmental regulations and fashion trends. Experts say these vehicles will displace fossil-powered cars in 20-30 years. But do not look that far ahead, let’s first take a glance at what changes are expected in the next few years. According to forecasts, petrol and diesel technology can retain its leading role in vehicle propulsion for 10-15 years, though cars are going through a fundamental “redesign” in response to global environmental challenges.
There is an easily observable trend that the size and mass of cars are growing steadily. It is marvelous if a car is spacious, but the extra weight also results in higher fuel consumption and worse driving dynamics. In order to overcome these problems and to meet ever-increasing emission standards, car manufacturers have begun to design lower fuel consumption and emissions, however these engines are more powerful than the previous ones. This is the so-called downsizing engine development trend that will dominate the automotive market in the near future. Our recently purchased Opel Vivaro minibuses also belong to this trend as they only have a 1.6 liter, yet powerful, 145 hp engine. (LINK)
However, the market share of fully or partly electric cars has been growing steadily since 2010, although currently just 1% of new cars sold are electric. The market was mostly influenced by Tesla. The company has achieved that electric cars are considered as a status symbol by consumers, thus putting pressure on not only the premium brand manufacturers, but with the latest Model 3 all the car manufacturers.
The trend is clearly continuing in the coming decades, as decision-makers are pushing car sector in that direction by tightening environmental standards and providing consumers with incentives. Strong engine, zero emissions and low maintenance costs are clearly the advantages of electric drive. No oil changes, gearbox, alternator, starter, and electricity is much cheaper than diesel and gasoline. However, these cars are still – mainly due to batteries – more expensive than the conventional ones, but this price difference will slowly but surely shrink. The batteries of electric cars are estimated to reach the price for which will be worth it to choose an environmentally friendly car for the general public in 10-20 years. We hope that Eden Group will acquire electric cars sooner than that. One of the most important aspects is the one-charge distance that manufacturers are steadily increasing. We will start our fleet expansion in this direction, as soon as the driving range will not jeopardize the delivery of our partners.
Government supports the purchase of electric cars in Hungary for nearly a year now. Thus we can say that 2017 became a turning point in the spread of electric vehicles in the country, to which a substantial increase in the number of charging points also contributed. Government’s analysis predicts that 30,000 electric cars will travel on Hungarian roads by 2020, which is 100 times the current volume.